By Former President Donald Trump is experiencing a remarkable surge in support among a surprising demographic: black voters, according to an average of polls conducted by CNN. The data shows that Trump’s support among black voters has jumped to 22 percent, a significant increase from the 9 percent he received in the 2020 presidential election.
Conversely, President Joe Biden, who heavily relied on the support of black voters to secure his victory in 2020, has seen his support among this demographic dip from 81 percent to 69 percent. CNN data analyst Harry Enten described this shift as a potentially “troubling sign” for the Biden campaign, as black voters played a crucial role in his successful bid for the White House in the previous election.
Enten emphasized the historical significance of this trend, stating that if Trump continues to gain support among black voters, he could potentially secure a larger share of this demographic than any Republican presidential candidate since Richard Nixon’s campaign against John F. Kennedy in 1960. “This could be a truly historic margin,” Enten remarked.
The CNN polling average also revealed that Trump’s popularity is particularly strong among younger black voters, with 25 percent of those aged 18 to 49 expressing their support for the former president. This figure is three times higher than the support he receives from black voters over the age of 50. While Biden still maintains a strong hold on older black voters, with 82 percent of them backing him, his support among the younger demographic appears to be waning.
Enten highlighted this generational divide, stating, “This is what a lot of folks have been talking about, that Joe Biden has a specific problem among younger black voters, and that is exactly what showing up right here. It’s these younger black voters who very much are turning on him and being much more supportive of Donald Trump than they were four years ago.
As the 2024 presidential race heats up, both Trump and Biden have agreed to participate in two debates, with the first scheduled for June 27 on CNN and the second set for September 10 on ABC News.
Recognizing the shifting dynamics within his voter base, Biden has embarked on a tour to reassure black voters of his commitment to their interests. During a recent visit to the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington D.C., Biden declared, “Black history is American history, we have a whole group out there trying to rewrite history, trying to erase history,” adding, “My name’s Joe Biden, and I’m a lifetime member of the NAACP.”
Biden’s upcoming commencement speech at Morehouse College, a historically black liberal arts college in Atlanta, Georgia, is another strategic move to solidify his support among black voters. Georgia, a swing state that Biden narrowly won in 2020, is expected to be a critical battleground in the upcoming election.
Despite Biden’s efforts, Trump currently holds a 1.1 percentage point lead over the incumbent president in a hypothetical general election matchup, according to RealClearPolitics.
As the 2024 presidential campaign continues to unfold, the shifting allegiances of black voters, particularly among younger generations, may prove to be a decisive factor in determining the outcome of the election.
Credit: DailyMail.com
