LONDON (BN24) — British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is marking his turbulent first anniversary in office this week while battling a revolt within his Labour Party over contentious welfare reforms. The rebellion — triggered by a parliamentary vote scheduled for Tuesday — threatens to deepen internal divisions and underscores the challenges Starmer faces amid plummeting approval ratings and economic stagnation.

Starmer, who swept to power in a historic Labour landslide on July 4, 2024, ending 14 years of Conservative rule with 412 seats in the House of Commons, is now confronting mounting dissatisfaction both inside Parliament and across the country.

Despite early international successes — including securing a trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump and bolstering NATO unity over Ukraine — his domestic standing has sharply deteriorated. Britain continues to wrestle with stubborn inflation, sluggish economic growth, and persistent cost-of-living pressures. Polls show Starmer’s personal approval ratings nearing the record lows of former Prime Minister Liz Truss, who was ousted after just 49 days in office in 2022.

John Curtice, professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, offered a stark assessment: “It’s the worst start for any newly elected prime minister in modern British history.”

At the center of the unrest is a controversial welfare reform bill that seeks to tighten eligibility requirements for disability benefits. The proposal, intended to save up to £5 billion ($7 billion) annually, would require claimants to meet stricter thresholds for physical or mental disability — a measure the Institute for Fiscal Studies estimated could reduce benefits for 3.2 million people by 2030.

The backlash within Labour has been fierce. More than 120 party MPs initially threatened to vote against the bill, forcing Starmer’s government to retreat. In a last-minute concession, the prime minister pledged that current benefit recipients would not be affected and vowed to consult disability advocacy groups on the changes. However, nearly 40 MPs still signed an amendment rejecting the bill entirely.

“This is not the right thing to do. It’s not a Labour thing to do,” MP Rachel Maskell, a leading critic, told the BBC. “We are here to protect the poor and defend the future of disabled people.”

The welfare revolt is the third major U-turn by the Starmer government in recent weeks. In May, it abandoned plans to cut winter heating subsidies for pensioners. In June, the prime minister bowed to political and public pressure — including from Elon Musk — to launch a national inquiry into institutional child sex abuse.

Rob Ford, politics professor at the University of Manchester, called the backtracking “a failure of leadership,” noting that such instability is unusual for a government with a commanding parliamentary majority. “I can’t think of a precedent in postwar politics for a new prime minister suffering such a blow this early while holding such a dominant position in the Commons,” he said.

The scrapped and softened policies have also left holes in Labour’s fiscal plans. Revised estimates suggest the welfare reforms will now save just half the projected £5 billion, complicating efforts to invest in public services without raising taxes. Starmer’s government has already introduced tax hikes for employers and farmers — moves it blames on the fiscal legacy of Conservative mismanagement.

While Labour boasts achievements such as a higher minimum wage, expanded workers’ rights, and increased NHS funding, these have failed to significantly shift public opinion in Starmer’s favor.

The prime minister recently acknowledged strategic missteps, telling the Sunday Times that he had been too focused on foreign policy during the welfare rebellion. “I should have acted sooner to bring colleagues onside,” he admitted.

Starmer’s internal troubles come against the backdrop of a rapidly changing political landscape. The Conservative Party, decimated in last year’s general election and now down to just 121 MPs, is no longer the dominant opposition force. Instead, Reform U.K., a far-right populist party led by Nigel Farage, is gaining traction. It won just five seats in Parliament but has topped recent opinion polls — drawing support from disillusioned Labour and Tory voters alike.

The prime minister’s key advantage is time. With no requirement to call another general election until 2029, Starmer has a runway to recover. But analysts warn that the rebellion may signal deeper discontent that could resurface as further hard fiscal choices loom.

“There’s still time to turn it around,” Ford said. “But this won’t be the last hard decision Starmer has to make — and the next fights may be even tougher.”